The Nov-May seasonal data showing 7.1% average returns with 77% win rate is exactly why holding VOO through this period makes sense regardless of headline noise. Your breakdown of earnings season with 83% beat rates and 79% revenue beats confirms the economy is stronger than government shutdown fears suggest. The global liquidity chart at $95 trillion combined with Fed ending QT removes the single biggest headwind from 2022-2024 which most retail investors dont fully appreciate. Even if Powell pauses in December the combination of strong fundamentals robust seasonality and record liquidity creates a compelling setup for broad market exposure.
The Nov-May seasonal data showing 7.1% average returns with 77% win rate is exactly why holding VOO through this period makes sense regardless of headline noise. Your breakdown of earnings season with 83% beat rates and 79% revenue beats confirms the economy is stronger than government shutdown fears suggest. The global liquidity chart at $95 trillion combined with Fed ending QT removes the single biggest headwind from 2022-2024 which most retail investors dont fully appreciate. Even if Powell pauses in December the combination of strong fundamentals robust seasonality and record liquidity creates a compelling setup for broad market exposure.
Yes earnings growth is ultimately key to the rally heading into next year!